Inflation at Svartsengi continues, eruption risk rises toward autumn
The Icelandic Meteorological Office says that given the rate of magma accumulation in recent weeks, the likelihood of a new eruption will increase as the autumn progresses. mbl.is/Árni Sæberg
The Icelandic Meteorological Office reports that land inflation at Svartsengi is ongoing, though the pace has slowed in recent weeks.
Despite the slowdown, the continued accumulation of magma suggests an increased likelihood of a new eruption as autumn approaches, assuming similar magma volumes are required as in previous Sundhnúkagígar events.
Earthquake activity decreasing
Earthquake activity around the magma tunnel formed on April 1 has also declined, with several dozen quakes recorded daily over the past two weeks.
While daily GPS deformation readings may fluctuate due to weather and other factors, experts emphasize the need to analyze longer-term trends to accurately assess volcanic risk.
A revised hazard assessment map remains in effect through May 20 with no changes to current risk zones.
