"Likely quiet until mid-November"

"It's a repeat scenario. We see a process very similar to the one after the last eruption," says Benedikt Gunnar Ófeigsson, Head of Deformation Measurements at the Icelandic Meteorological Office, when asked about the situation at Sundhnúkagígar crater row.

Magma accumulates in the same area as before under Svartsengi and inflation behaves as it did for the last two eruptions, he says.

"It's getting longer between events, which is going to create a longer period of uncertainty," he adds, pointing out that magma volumes are increasingly accumulating between eruptions. The last eruption ended on the sixth of this month. It lasted for two weeks and was the third longest of the six that have occurred in the Sundhnúkagígar crater row since December 2023.

"I think it will be likely quiet until the middle of November," Ófeigsson says but notes that things can always happen.

When he is asked how much the inflation is now, he says that measuring it will have to wait until more magma has accumulated.